October 20, 2016
VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 48% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 16.43% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Nine sectors are calculated to be overvalued.
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Repeat
--Kors Returns To Number One SP500 Stock For ValuEngine
ValuEngine tracks more than 7000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stock which trade on US exchanges as well as @1000 Canadian equities. When EPS estimates are available for a given equity, our model calculates a level of mispricing or valuation percentage for that equity based on earnings estimates and what the stock should be worth if the market were totally rational and efficient--an academic exercise to be sure, but one which allows for useful comparisons between equities, sectors, and industries. Using our Valuation Model, we can currently assign a VE valuation calculation to more than 2800 stocks in our US Universe.
We also use trading data to provide forecast estimates for a variety of time horizons for almost ever equity in our database. Our Buy/Sell/Hold recommendations are based upon the 1-year forecast return figure. Using valuation and forecast figures, you can rank and rate our covered stocks against each other, to find out, in an objective and systematic way, the most attractive investment targets based on your own risk/reward parameters. We re-calculate the entire database every trading day, so you are assured that every proprietary valuation and forecast datapoint is as up-to-date as possible.
We can use our data to track individual stocks, industries, sectors, and indices. For today's bulletin, we present key metrics for the top picks in the S&P 500. The companies listed below represent the top-ten BUY/STRONG BUY stocks within the index. They are presented below according to their one-month forecast target prices.
In our last edition. Micahel Kors was finally dethroned as our top-ranked SP500 stock. But, the reign of new leader CBS at the top of our chart did not last long. Today's query of our systems shows that Kors is back at number one while CBS has fallen to the number four spot.
This week, we find that KLA Tencor also declined to make room for Kors' return to the premier spot. We also see that Applied Materials, Tyson Foods, UTD Rentals, and Zimmer Biomet managed to move up a few spots. Turnover was relatively light, with newcomers LAM Research, Broadcom, and International Paper just managing to creep into the top ten.
Scripps Networks, Global Payments, and Entergy have fallen out of our op-stick list.
Our list is dominated by tech and consumer discretionary firms this month. And, each company in our top-ten list is ranked STRONG BUY or BUY this time around.
Ticker |
Company Name |
Market Price |
Valuation |
Last 12-M Retrn |
1-M Forecast Retn |
1-Yr Forecast Retn |
P/E Ratio |
Sector Name |
Sept. 15, 2016 |
KORS |
MICHAEL KORS |
50.1 |
-30.06% |
25.97% |
1.29% |
15.53% |
11.57 |
Consumer Discretionary |
CBS |
AMAT |
APPLD MATLS INC |
28.32 |
-10.62% |
79.18% |
1.21% |
14.52% |
17.37 |
Computer and Technology |
KLAC |
TSN |
TYSON FOODS A |
70.47 |
-5.25% |
52.60% |
1.19% |
14.29% |
15.25 |
Consumer Staples |
AMAT |
CBS |
CBS CORP |
55.53 |
-13.42% |
29.38% |
1.12% |
13.43% |
14.42 |
Consumer Discretionary |
SNI |
KLAC |
KLA-TENCOR CORP |
71.94 |
2.43% |
35.43% |
1.04% |
12.53% |
14.33 |
Computer and Technology |
ETR |
URI |
UTD RENTALS INC |
75.58 |
-3.07% |
15.58% |
1.01% |
12.08% |
9.33 |
Construction |
KORS |
LRCX |
LAM RESEARCH |
99.72 |
7.66% |
47.43% |
0.97% |
11.69% |
15.78 |
Computer and Technology |
TSN |
AVGO |
BROADCOM LTD |
171.87 |
-1.81% |
44.48% |
0.96% |
11.55% |
18.06 |
Computer and Technology |
URI |
ZBH |
ZIMMER BIOMET |
128.08 |
-1.39% |
30.44% |
0.92% |
11.06% |
16.21 |
Medical |
GPN |
IP |
INTL PAPER |
48.28 |
-9.09% |
16.31% |
0.90% |
10.81% |
13.72 |
Basic Materials |
ZBH |
NOTE: New stocks are in BOLD, old stocks that have moved up the list are in GREEN, old stocks that have declined in position are in RED, and stocks which have retained their position are in CAPS.
Below is today's data on one of our SP500 top-ten newcomers, International Paper Co. (IP).
International Paper Co. (IP) is a global paper and forest products company that is complemented by an extensive distribution system. The company produces printing and writing papers, pulp, tissue, paperboard and packaging and wood products. The company also manufacture specialty chemicals and specialty panels and laminated products. Its primary markets and manufacturing and distribution operations are in the United States, Europe and the Pacific Rim.
ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on INTL PAPER for 2016-10-19. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that INTL PAPER has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and Sharpe Ratio.
You can download a free copy of detailed report on International Paper Co. (IP) from the link below.
ValuEngine Forecast |
|
Target
Price* |
Expected
Return |
1-Month |
48.72 |
0.90% |
3-Month |
49.03 |
1.56% |
6-Month |
49.13 |
1.76% |
1-Year |
53.50 |
10.81% |
2-Year |
46.94 |
-2.78% |
3-Year |
40.60 |
-15.91% |
Valuation & Rankings |
Valuation |
9.09% undervalued |
|
66 |
1-M Forecast Return |
0.90% |
1-M Forecast Return Rank |
96 |
12-M Return |
16.31% |
|
74 |
Sharpe Ratio |
0.64 |
|
82 |
5-Y Avg Annual Return |
14.49% |
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank |
80 |
Volatility |
22.50% |
|
68 |
Expected EPS Growth |
20.74% |
|
57 |
Market Cap (billions) |
20.45 |
Size Rank |
95 |
Trailing P/E Ratio |
13.72 |
|
81 |
Forward P/E Ratio |
11.36 |
Forward P/E Ratio Rank |
76 |
PEG Ratio |
0.66 |
PEG Ratio Rank |
53 |
Price/Sales |
0.95 |
|
68 |
Market/Book |
30.12 |
|
5 |
Beta |
1.56 |
Beta Rank |
19 |
Alpha |
0.05 |
Alpha Rank |
66 |
DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR INTERNATIONAL PAPER (IP) REPORT BY CLICKING HERE
ValuEngine Market Overview
Summary of VE Stock Universe |
Stocks Undervalued |
52% |
Stocks Overvalued |
48% |
Stocks Undervalued by 20% |
21.48% |
Stocks Overvalued by 20% |
16.43% |
ValuEngine Sector Overview
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.38% |
-2.21% |
16.15% |
6.15% overvalued |
12.53% |
24.07 |
|
0.18% |
-0.89% |
10.23% |
5.33% overvalued |
11.60% |
22.12 |
|
1.45% |
3.72% |
36.35% |
5.24% overvalued |
-5.71% |
26.66 |
|
1.15% |
-0.75% |
45.63% |
3.81% overvalued |
49.57% |
28.40 |
|
0.16% |
-2.35% |
15.53% |
3.55% overvalued |
4.38% |
29.44 |
|
0.64% |
-0.30% |
7.38% |
2.54% overvalued |
-1.26% |
20.98 |
|
-0.02% |
-1.80% |
10.96% |
2.04% overvalued |
9.00% |
24.77 |
|
0.46% |
-0.49% |
6.75% |
0.91% overvalued |
3.03% |
16.57 |
|
0.02% |
-0.18% |
2.72% |
0.18% overvalued |
5.07% |
17.98 |
|
0.16% |
-1.78% |
12.67% |
1.14% undervalued |
-1.97% |
24.39 |
|
0.21% |
-1.61% |
7.93% |
2.49% undervalued |
0.93% |
23.97 |
|
0.49% |
-0.39% |
9.54% |
2.82% undervalued |
-13.53% |
16.59 |
|
-0.03% |
-1.12% |
30.18% |
4.84% undervalued |
11.19% |
19.85 |
|
0.65% |
-0.45% |
0.11% |
5.25% undervalued |
-4.11% |
22.65 |
|
0.61% |
-1.07% |
6.71% |
5.89% undervalued |
7.05% |
15.01 |
|
-0.33% |
-2.16% |
0.75% |
6.46% undervalued |
-9.83% |
25.95 |
ValuEngine.com is an independent research provider, producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 7,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day.
Visit www.ValuEngine.com for more information
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