August 15, 2016

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 46.58% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 14.99% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Eight sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

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UPGRADES

--ValuEngine Top Upgrades For The Week

ValuEngine tracks more than 7000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stock which trade on US exchanges as well as @1000 Canadian equities.  When EPS estimates are available for a given equity, our model calculates a level of mispricing or valuation percentage for that equity based on earnings estimates and what the stock should be worth if the market were totally rational and efficient--an academic exercise to be sure, but one which allows for useful comparisons between equities, sectors, and industries. Using our Valuation Model, we can currently assign a VE valuation calculation to more than 2800 stocks in our US Universe.

We combine all of the equities with a valuation calculation to track market valuation figures and use them as a metric for making calls about the overall state of the market.  Two factors can lower these figures-- a market pullback, or a significant rise in EPS estimates.

We also use trading data to provide forecast estimates for a variety of time horizons for almost ever equity in our database. Our Buy/Sell/Hold recommendations are based upon the 1-year forecast return figure. Using valuation and forecast figures, you can rank and rate our covered stocks against each other, to find out, in an objective and systematic way, the most attractive investment targets based on your own risk/reward parameters. We re-calculate the entire database every trading day, so you are assured that every proprietary valuation and forecast datapoint is as up-to-date as possible.

So, for today's bulletin we used our website's advanced screening functions to search for UPGRADES to BUY or STRONG BUY* with complete forecast and valuation data. They are presented by one-month forecast return. Simmons First National Corp (SFNC) is our top-rated upgrade this week.

*Note: There are no STRONG BUY companies in this list. They are all BUY-rated stocks.

Below is today's data on Simmons First National Corp (SFNC):

SIMMONS FIRST NATIONAL CORP bank holding company registered under the Bank Holding Act of 1956. Through its subsidiaries, Co. provides a full range of banking and mortgage services to individual and corporate customers.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine updated its recommendation from HOLD to BUY for SIMMONS FIRST A on 2016-08-12. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that SIMMONS FIRST A has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Sharpe Ratio and P/E Ratio.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on Simmons First National Corp from the link below.

ValuEngine Forecast
	Target Price*	Expected Return
1-Month	47.31	0.56%
3-Month	47.61	1.19%
6-Month	47.83	1.66%
1-Year	50.19	6.68%
2-Year	48.15	2.34%
3-Year	44.07	-6.34%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation	7.49% undervalued	Valuation Rank(?)	62
1-M Forecast Return	0.56%	1-M Forecast Return Rank	86
12-M Return	6.23%	Momentum Rank(?)	65
Sharpe Ratio	0.53	Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)	83
5-Y Avg Annual Return	12.86%	5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank	83
Volatility	24.23%	Volatility Rank(?)	67
Expected EPS Growth	3.84%	EPS Growth Rank(?)	30
Market Cap (billions)	0.85	Size Rank	63
Trailing P/E Ratio	14.26	Trailing P/E Rank(?)	79
Forward P/E Ratio	13.73	Forward P/E Ratio Rank	64
PEG Ratio	3.71	PEG Ratio Rank	12
Price/Sales	1.97	Price/Sales Rank(?)	46
Market/Book	1.19	Market/Book Rank(?)	71
Beta	1.02	Beta Rank	44
Alpha	-0.02	Alpha Rank	50

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR SIMMONS FIRST NATIONAL (SFNC) REPORT BY CLICKING HERE

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