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July 14, 2016


VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 43.35% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 14.21% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Five sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

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High Fashion

--Michael Kors Takes Lead On ValuEngine Top S&P500 Stock List

ValuEngine tracks more than 7000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stock which trade on US exchanges as well as @1000 Canadian equities.  When EPS estimates are available for a given equity, our model calculates a level of mispricing or valuation percentage for that equity based on earnings estimates and what the stock should be worth if the market were totally rational and efficient--an academic exercise to be sure, but one which allows for useful comparisons between equities, sectors, and industries. Using our Valuation Model, we can currently assign a VE valuation calculation to more than 2800 stocks in our US Universe.

We also use trading data to provide forecast estimates for a variety of time horizons for almost ever equity in our database. Our Buy/Sell/Hold recommendations are based upon the 1-year forecast return figure. Using valuation and forecast figures, you can rank and rate our covered stocks against each other, to find out, in an objective and systematic way, the most attractive investment targets based on your own risk/reward parameters. We re-calculate the entire database every trading day, so you are assured that every proprietary valuation and forecast datapoint is as up-to-date as possible.

We can use our data to track individual stocks, industries, sectors, and indices. For today's bulletin, we present key metrics for the top picks in the S&P 500. The companies listed below represent the top-ten BUY/STRONG BUY stocks within the index. They are presented below according to their one-month forecast target prices.

In our last update, Michael Kors (KORS) debuted in the number two position and has now climbed into the first spot according to our models. Southwest Airlines (LUV) and Traveler's (TRV) declined one spot each as Tyson Foods (TSN) is now in third place. Chubb Limited (CB) retains its spot in the middle of our top-ten list. AFLAC (AFL) and Verizon (VZ) also managed to moved up a few spaces--with DR Horton (DHI) and KLA-Tencor (KLAC) declning and just managing to hang on--barely. Applied Materials (AMAT) returns to our top ten as Global Payments (GPN) has fallen off the charts. That last move is our only overall change to the list-- just one new stock this time.

Ticker
Company Name
Market Price
Valuation
Last 12-M Retrn
1-M Forecast Retn
1-Yr Forecast Retn
P/E Ratio
Sector Name
June 23, 2016
KORS
MICHAEL KORS
51.72
-33.43%
17.39%
1.26%
15.18%
11.97
Consumer Discretionary
LUV
LUV
SOUTHWEST AIR
42.4
-3.60%
24.96%
1.23%
14.78%
10.76
Transportation
KORS
TSN
TYSON FOODS  A
69.21
3.91%
58.30%
1.07%
12.87%
16.80
Consumer Staples
TRV
TRV
TRAVELERS COS
118
3.63%
15.31%
1.01%
12.16%
11.45
Finance
TSN
CB
CHUBB LTD
129.5
5.43%
24.24%
1.01%
12.13%
13.63
Finance
CB
AFL
AFLAC INC
73.28
18.20%
19.31%
0.95%
11.40%
11.24
Finance
DHI
VZ
VERIZON COMM
56
0.68%
18.64%
0.95%
11.36%
14.21
Utilities
KLAC
AMAT
APPLD MATLS INC
25.91
-11.16%
34.18%
0.94%
11.24%
19.73
Computer and Technology
AFL
DHI
D R HORTON INC
33.9
0.16%
19.92%
0.92%
11.04%
15.13
Construction
VZ
KLAC
KLA-TENCOR CORP
75.55
1.43%
34.14%
0.92%
11.00%
17.45
Computer and Technology
GPN

NOTE: New stocks are in BOLD, old stocks that have moved up the list are in GREEN, old stocks that have declined in position are in RED, and stocks which have retained their position are in CAPS.

Below is today's data on our SP500 leader, Michael Kors (KORS)

Michael Kors is a global accessories, footwear and apparel company. They offer two primary collections: the Michael Kors luxury collection and the MICHAEL Michael Kors accessible luxury collection. They also offer select footwear and outerwear through their KORS Michael Kors accessible luxury collection. They operate their business in three segments-retail, wholesale and licensing-and have a global distribution network focused on company-operated retail stores, leading department stores, specialty stores and select licensing partners.


VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on MICHAEL KORS for 2016-07-13. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that MICHAEL KORS has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and P/E Ratio.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on KORS from the link below.



ValuEngine Forecast
 
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
52.37 1.26%
3-Month
52.25 1.03%
6-Month
51.86 0.27%
1-Year
59.57 15.18%
2-Year
45.79 -11.46%
3-Year
29.89 -42.20%

Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
33.43% undervalued
Valuation Rank(?)
86
1-M Forecast Return
1.26%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
100
12-M Return
17.39%
Momentum Rank(?)
81
Sharpe Ratio
0.34
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
78
5-Y Avg Annual Return
13.26%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
86
Volatility
39.00%
Volatility Rank(?)
47
Expected EPS Growth
8.80%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
39
Market Cap (billions)
10.65
Size Rank
91
Trailing P/E Ratio
11.97
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
85
Forward P/E Ratio
11.00
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
77
PEG Ratio
1.36
PEG Ratio Rank
34
Price/Sales
2.26
Price/Sales Rank(?)
41
Market/Book
5.58
Market/Book Rank(?)
22
Beta
0.82
Beta Rank
54
Alpha
0.15
Alpha Rank
83

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR MICHAEL KORS (KORS) REPORT BY CLICKING HERE


 

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
56.65%
Stocks Overvalued
43.35%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
24.75%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
14.21%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
0.73%
7.45%
50.46%
17.01% overvalued
41.03%
31.26
0.03%
2.26%
10.40%
6.97% overvalued
5.31%
24.44
0.23%
3.07%
14.41%
6.13% overvalued
9.10%
23.57
-0.04%
1.73%
5.97%
4.49% overvalued
-6.38%
18.79
0.00%
3.84%
9.28%
0.56% overvalued
-2.45%
22.36
-1.04%
0.95%
16.97%
0.15% undervalued
-24.80%
24.02
0.07%
3.33%
14.32%
1.12% undervalued
-7.66%
23.51
-0.33%
3.70%
25.15%
1.95% undervalued
0.93%
21.97
0.28%
2.62%
-2.48%
3.11% undervalued
-4.39%
19.68
0.01%
2.43%
3.80%
3.76% undervalued
-2.52%
16.24
-0.14%
2.94%
8.65%
3.85% undervalued
-3.50%
29.49
-0.31%
3.84%
6.50%
4.18% undervalued
-7.20%
21.79
-0.58%
3.23%
-0.44%
9.94% undervalued
-10.65%
22.01
0.08%
5.66%
6.42%
10.10% undervalued
-24.86%
14.08
-0.58%
4.22%
0.22%
11.23% undervalued
-22.25%
27.67
-0.44%
3.07%
-2.38%
18.23% undervalued
-12.80%
12.36

 

ValuEngine.com is an independent research provider, producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 7,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day. 
Visit www.ValuEngine.com for more information

 

 
 
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