February 17, 2015
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VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 57.85% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 19.19% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Eleven sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with three at or near double digits.
--An Early Spring for 1-800-Flowers.com
1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. (FLWS) is a leading e-commerce provider of floral products and gifts, in terms of number of customers and revenue. With the development of the company's online business and a strategic acquisition, they have continuously expanded their product offerings, most recently to include gourmet foods and home and garden merchandise. As a result, the company has developed relationships with customers who purchase products not only for gifting occasions but also for everyday consumption.
1-800-Flowers is currently leading our newsletter portfolios with a big gain of 41% for our Small Cap Stock Strategy subscribers. The stock has been on quite a tear recently, and it isn't all due to the Valentine's Day rush. The company has expanded in recent years via good acquisitions such as last year's --cash--purchase of Harry and David and strategic relationships with big shippers for their diverse line of gifts. In addition, the company is not bound by phone numbers anymore, and they garner a lot of orders from the various mobile apps they have developed. These innovations helped the company book revenues of @ $750 billion in 2014.
The stock's recent climb has been fueled
by some huge earnings gains. Earlier this month, the company reported total net revenues of $534.3 million for its fiscal 2015 second quarter compared with revenues of $266.3 million in the prior year period. Notably, earnings were up across all three of the company's business segments and were not just a result of the Harry and David acquisition.
Company CEO Jim McCann noted that "during the fiscal second quarter, [FLWS] more than doubled our revenues and tripled our bottom line results year-over-year." He went on to note that these stunning results occurred despite a fire at the company's Cleveland-area warehouse facility and distribution center. Guidance from the company calls for a 2015 with total net revenues in excess of $1.1 billion.
VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on 1800FLOWERS.COM for 2015-02-13. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that 1800FLOWERS.COM has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Momentum and Sharpe Ratio.
As a bonus to our Newsletter readers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports
Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on 1800FLOWERS.COM HERE.
Below is today's data on FLWS:
ValuEngine Forecast |
|
Target
Price* |
Expected
Return |
1-Month |
10.45 |
1.16% |
3-Month |
10.67 |
3.25% |
6-Month |
10.97 |
6.22% |
1-Year |
11.77 |
13.98% |
2-Year |
13.02 |
26.07% |
3-Year |
6.13 |
-40.70% |
Valuation & Rankings |
Valuation |
5.05% overvalued |
|
46 |
1-M Forecast Return |
1.16% |
1-M Forecast Return Rank |
99 |
12-M Return |
87.82% |
|
97 |
Sharpe Ratio |
0.60 |
|
82 |
5-Y Avg Annual Return |
26.76% |
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank |
94 |
Volatility |
44.74% |
|
43 |
Expected EPS Growth |
-44.64% |
|
7 |
Market Cap (billions) |
0.66 |
Size Rank |
59 |
Trailing P/E Ratio |
13.83 |
|
81 |
Forward P/E Ratio |
24.99 |
Forward P/E Ratio Rank |
21 |
PEG Ratio |
n/a |
PEG Ratio Rank |
n/a |
Price/Sales |
0.64 |
|
79 |
Market/Book |
8.54 |
|
15 |
Beta |
2.05 |
Beta Rank |
12 |
Alpha |
0.22 |
Alpha Rank |
88 |
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The ValuEngine View Newsletter is the product of a sophisticated stock valuation model that was first developed by ValuEngine's academic research team. It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. In addition, the portoflio uses top picks from our Forecast Model. In essence, the portfolio is constructed with the best picks from our main propiretary models
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VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years |
|
VE View |
S&P 500 |
Ann Return |
24.78% |
14.56% |
Ann Volatility |
22.28% |
12.35% |
Sharpe Ratio |
1.11 |
1.18 |
Sortino Ratio |
1.88 |
1.53 |
Max Drawdown |
-34.94% |
-11.14% |
The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth BenchmarkPortfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academic research team and combine cutting-edge financial analysis and portfolio construction techniques with real-world Wall St. know how.
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The ValuEngine View Newsletter portfolio has 15 primary stock picks and five alternates and is re-balanced once each month. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is published near the middle of each calendar month. An equal amount of capital is allocated to each stock. The monthly returns are calculated from the closing prices on date of publication. The performance calculation does not include any transaction costs.
ValuEngine Market Overview
Summary of VE Stock Universe |
Stocks Undervalued |
42.15% |
Stocks Overvalued |
57.85% |
Stocks Undervalued by 20% |
15.93% |
Stocks Overvalued by 20% |
19.19% |
ValuEngine Sector Overview
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.81% |
6.01% |
6.45% |
17.18% overvalued |
4.30% |
20.80 |
|
0.60% |
4.13% |
6.04% |
10.13% overvalued |
3.05% |
32.12 |
|
0.39% |
5.14% |
3.90% |
9.25% overvalued |
0.36% |
31.26 |
|
0.10% |
2.27% |
1.51% |
7.32% overvalued |
7.88% |
24.43 |
|
0.37% |
4.04% |
0.03% |
7.27% overvalued |
8.62% |
26.85 |
|
0.71% |
3.85% |
3.82% |
6.33% overvalued |
6.31% |
19.09 |
|
0.22% |
3.26% |
0.76% |
4.70% overvalued |
8.37% |
21.55 |
|
0.71% |
6.03% |
2.71% |
3.40% overvalued |
3.24% |
25.11 |
|
0.28% |
3.67% |
0.18% |
2.79% overvalued |
4.50% |
17.90 |
|
0.64% |
4.66% |
1.69% |
2.34% overvalued |
-0.29% |
26.54 |
|
0.53% |
8.43% |
5.95% |
0.77% overvalued |
-0.48% |
15.17 |
|
0.60% |
5.42% |
0.99% |
1.61% undervalued |
-6.47% |
20.26 |
|
1.03% |
4.22% |
3.29% |
4.36% undervalued |
-19.94% |
26.12 |
|
0.48% |
4.85% |
1.26% |
5.47% undervalued |
-0.79% |
25.84 |
|
0.68% |
4.27% |
0.37% |
6.57% undervalued |
6.45% |
21.29 |
|
1.84% |
9.84% |
3.22% |
6.83% undervalued |
-26.32% |
20.03 |
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